UL Monroe at Mississippi State
Saturday, September 5, 2026 · 7:30 PM EDT
Final score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | 0 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 13 |
| | 21 | 20 | 7 | 14 | 62 |
GIE pre-game call: Mississippi State at 98%. Hit
Pre-game
GIE win probability
UL Monroe 2% Underdog
Mississippi State 98% Favorite
Mississippi State is the model's favorite at 98%. UL Monroe has a 2% path. Home-field adjustment of +5.1 rating points baked in for Mississippi State — venue-specific night-game value (n=59 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.