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UL Monroe at Mississippi State

Saturday, September 5, 2026 · 7:30 PM EDT

Final score

Final score by period
Team 1234 T
UL Monroe 03100 13
Mississippi State Winner 2120714 62

GIE pre-game call: Mississippi State at 98%. Hit

Pre-game

GIE win probability

UL Monroe 2% Underdog
Mississippi State 98% Favorite
Mississippi State 90% CI
97–99%
Δ rating
Mississippi State +27.0

Mississippi State is the model's favorite at 98%. UL Monroe has a 2% path. Home-field adjustment of +5.1 rating points baked in for Mississippi State — venue-specific night-game value (n=59 games).

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Recaps