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2026 Week 1 · Neutral site

Louisville at Ole Miss

Sunday, September 6, 2026 · 6:30 PM CDT

Nissan Stadium

Louisville
ACC
Record
0-0
Rating
12.4
National rank
25
Proj. wins
7.8
Playoff prob.
9%
Ole Miss
SEC
Record
0-0
Rating
24.0
National rank
7
Proj. wins
8.6
Playoff prob.
80%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Louisville
19%
Ole Miss
81%
Ole Miss 90% CI: 75% – 86% Δ rating 11.6

Ole Miss is the model's favorite at 81%. Louisville has a 19% path. No home-field adjustment applied (neutral site).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Louisville offense
35 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Ole Miss offense
29 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast for neutral-site venues will arrive once the venues table ships (#53).

Game info

Kickoff
Sunday, September 6, 2026 · 6:30 PM CDT
Venue
Nissan Stadium
Conference game
No
Neutral site
Yes

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