Clemson at LSU
Saturday, September 5, 2026 · 7:30 PM EDT
Final score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 |
| | 17 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 51 |
GIE pre-game call: LSU at 95%. Hit
Pre-game
GIE win probability
Clemson 5% Underdog
LSU 95% Favorite
LSU is the model's favorite at 95%. Clemson has a 5% path. Home-field adjustment of +4.7 rating points baked in for LSU — venue-specific night-game value (n=57 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Recaps
- LSU recap LSU: 2026 Week 12 recap LSU sits at No. 7 overall with a 6–3 record, but last week's 31–13 home loss to Alabama knocked the Tigers down 2.3 rating points. The damage runs deeper than the scoreline: a red-zone TD rate of just 10.5% and third-down conversion rate…
- Clemson recap Clemson: 2026 Week 12 recap Clemson sits at 6–3 and ranked 58th after a narrow 18–13 road win over Syracuse, but GIE's model has grown noticeably skeptical. A 1.4-point rating drop signals real underlying concerns—the Tigers now project to 7.8 expected wins and face…