2026 Week 3
Louisiana Tech at Baylor
Friday, September 18, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
McLane Stadium
Louisiana Tech
Conference USA
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -1.3
- National rank
- 77
- Proj. wins
- 1.2
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Baylor
Big 12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 1.4
- National rank
- 71
- Proj. wins
- 5.1
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Louisiana Tech
39%
Baylor
61%
Baylor 90% CI: 52% – 69% Δ rating 2.7
Baylor is the model's favorite at 61%. Louisiana Tech has a 39% path. Home-field adjustment of +0.9 rating points baked in for Baylor — venue-specific learned value (n=54 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Louisiana Tech offense
38 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Baylor offense
37 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, September 18, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- McLane Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No