2026 Week 8 · Conference game
Miami (OH) at Central Michigan
Saturday, October 24, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Kelly/Shorts Stadium
Miami (OH)
Mid-American
- Record
- 1-2
- Rating
- -6.0
- National rank
- 92
- Proj. wins
- 5.4
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Central Michigan
Mid-American
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- -14.9
- National rank
- 116
- Proj. wins
- 6.9
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Miami (OH)
69%
Central Michigan
31%
Central Michigan 90% CI: 24% – 40% Δ rating 8.9
Miami (OH) is the model's favorite at 69%. Central Michigan has a 31% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.6 rating points baked in for Central Michigan — venue-specific learned value (n=45 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Miami (OH) offense
37 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Central Michigan offense
32 / 100
Run offense vs. elite run defense — bad matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 24, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Kelly/Shorts Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No