2026 Week 8 · Conference game
Miami (OH) at Central Michigan
Friday, October 23, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Kelly/Shorts Stadium
Miami (OH)
Mid-American
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -3.4
- National rank
- 82
- Proj. wins
- 6.7
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Central Michigan
Mid-American
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -8.8
- National rank
- 100
- Proj. wins
- 5.4
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Miami (OH)
59%
Central Michigan
41%
Central Michigan 90% CI: 33% – 51% Δ rating 5.4
Miami (OH) is the model's favorite at 59%. Central Michigan has a 41% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.6 rating points baked in for Central Michigan — venue-specific learned value (n=45 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Miami (OH) offense
37 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Central Michigan offense
32 / 100
Run offense vs. elite run defense — bad matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, October 23, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- Kelly/Shorts Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No