Conference game
Ohio at Miami (OH)
Tuesday, November 10, 2026 · 8:00 PM EST
GIE win probability
Ohio 64% Favorite
Miami (OH) 36% Underdog
Ohio is the model's favorite at 64%. Miami (OH) has a 36% path. Home-field adjustment of +-0.2 rating points baked in for Miami (OH) — venue-specific night-game value (n=42 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Ohio offense
33 / 100 Run offense vs. elite run defense — bad matchup
Miami (OH) offense
Higher fit 39 / 100 Style-neutral matchup