2026 Week 11 · Conference game
Ohio at Miami (OH)
Monday, November 9, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST
Yager Stadium
Ohio
Mid-American
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -4.0
- National rank
- 84
- Proj. wins
- 6.7
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Miami (OH)
Mid-American
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -3.4
- National rank
- 82
- Proj. wins
- 6.7
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Ohio
44%
Miami (OH)
56%
Miami (OH) 90% CI: 47% – 65% Δ rating 0.6
Miami (OH) is the model's favorite at 56%. Ohio has a 44% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.3 rating points baked in for Miami (OH) — venue-specific learned value (n=43 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Ohio offense
33 / 100
Run offense vs. elite run defense — bad matchup
Miami (OH) offense
39 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Monday, November 9, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST
- Venue
- Yager Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No