Conference game
Ohio at Sacramento State
Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 10:00 PM EDT
Final score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ohio Winner | 7 | 20 | 14 | 7 | 48 |
 Sacramento State | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 |
GIE pre-game call: Ohio at 93%. Hit
Pre-game
GIE win probability
Ohio 93% Favorite
Sacramento State 7% Underdog
Ohio is the model's favorite at 93%. Sacramento State has a 7% path. Home-field adjustment of +4.1 rating points baked in for Sacramento State — venue-specific learned value (n=5 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Recaps
- Sacramento State recap Sacramento State: 2026 Week 7 recap Sacramento State sits at 1–4 with a rating of –22.9, unchanged from last week despite the bye. The Hornets' most recent contest was a lopsided loss to Massachusetts (35–6 in Week 4), a result that underscores deeper offensive…
- Ohio recap Ohio: 2026 Week 7 recap Ohio scraped past Kent State 13–10 in Week 5, but the Bobcats remain stuck at a –10.5 rating and rank 109th in GIE's assessment heading into Week 7. The win didn't budge the needle because the performance itself is fragile: a red-zone TD…