2026 Week 6 · Conference game
Central Michigan at Ohio
Saturday, October 10, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Peden Stadium
Central Michigan
Mid-American
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- -14.9
- National rank
- 116
- Proj. wins
- 6.9
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Ohio
Mid-American
- Record
- 1-2
- Rating
- -12.7
- National rank
- 114
- Proj. wins
- 5.5
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Central Michigan
37%
Ohio
63%
Ohio 90% CI: 54% – 72% Δ rating 2.2
Ohio is the model's favorite at 63%. Central Michigan has a 37% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.2 rating points baked in for Ohio — venue-specific learned value (n=47 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Central Michigan offense
37 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Ohio offense
35 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Conditions
Overcast
Temperature
45°F
Precipitation
6%
Wind
3 mph
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 10, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Peden Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No