4thand4cast

Search the site.

Try , , or .

Powered by Pagefind

2026 Week 6 · Conference game

Central Michigan at Ohio

Friday, October 9, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT

Peden Stadium

Central Michigan
Mid-American
Record
0-0
Rating
-8.8
National rank
100
Proj. wins
5.4
Playoff prob.
0%
Ohio
Mid-American
Record
0-0
Rating
-4.0
National rank
84
Proj. wins
6.7
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Central Michigan
29%
Ohio
71%
Ohio 90% CI: 62% – 78% Δ rating 4.8

Ohio is the model's favorite at 71%. Central Michigan has a 29% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.2 rating points baked in for Ohio — venue-specific learned value (n=47 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Central Michigan offense
37 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Ohio offense
35 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.

Game info

Kickoff
Friday, October 9, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Venue
Peden Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No

← Home