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2026 Week 1 FINAL

Jacksonville State at North Dakota State

Saturday, August 29, 2026 · 9:30 PM UTC

Fargodome

7
Jacksonville State
Final
33
North Dakota State
Team 1234 T
Jacksonville State 7000 7
North Dakota State 710106 33

GIE pre-game call: North Dakota State at 88%. Hit.

Recaps

Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.

Jacksonville State
Conference USA
Record
2-2
Rating
-3.2
National rank
83
Proj. wins
6.5
Playoff prob.
0%
North Dakota State
Mountain West
Record
4-0
Rating
10.6
National rank
35
Proj. wins
10.2
Playoff prob.
58%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Jacksonville State
12%
North Dakota State
88%
North Dakota State 90% CI: 84% – 92% Δ rating 13.8

North Dakota State is the model's favorite at 88%. Jacksonville State has a 12% path. League-prior home-field adjustment of +2.5 rating points baked in for North Dakota State.

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, August 29, 2026 · 9:30 PM UTC
Venue
Fargodome
Conference game
No
Neutral site
No
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