2026 Week 12 · Conference game
North Texas at Tulane
Saturday, November 21, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
Yulman Stadium
North Texas
American Athletic
- Record
- 1-2
- Rating
- -9.2
- National rank
- 105
- Proj. wins
- 5.5
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Tulane
American Athletic
- Record
- 1-2
- Rating
- -5.6
- National rank
- 88
- Proj. wins
- 5.2
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
North Texas
25%
Tulane
75%
Tulane 90% CI: 68% – 82% Δ rating 3.6
Tulane is the model's favorite at 75%. North Texas has a 25% path. Home-field adjustment of +5.3 rating points baked in for Tulane — venue-specific learned value (n=56 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
North Texas offense
37 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Tulane offense
38 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 21, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Yulman Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No