2026 Week 12 · Conference game
North Texas at Tulane
Friday, November 20, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST
Yulman Stadium
North Texas
American Athletic
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 13.8
- National rank
- 22
- Proj. wins
- 8.5
- Playoff prob.
- 13%
Tulane
American Athletic
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 6.3
- National rank
- 45
- Proj. wins
- 7.5
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
North Texas
57%
Tulane
43%
Tulane 90% CI: 34% – 52% Δ rating 7.5
North Texas is the model's favorite at 57%. Tulane has a 43% path. Home-field adjustment of +5.3 rating points baked in for Tulane — venue-specific learned value (n=56 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
North Texas offense
37 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Tulane offense
38 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, November 20, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST
- Venue
- Yulman Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No