2026 Week 7 · Conference game
Memphis at Tulane
Thursday, October 15, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Yulman Stadium
Memphis
American Athletic
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 7.6
- National rank
- 39
- Proj. wins
- 7.6
- Playoff prob.
- 2%
Tulane
American Athletic
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 6.3
- National rank
- 45
- Proj. wins
- 7.5
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Memphis
38%
Tulane
62%
Tulane 90% CI: 53% – 71% Δ rating 1.3
Tulane is the model's favorite at 62%. Memphis has a 38% path. Home-field adjustment of +5.3 rating points baked in for Tulane — venue-specific learned value (n=56 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Memphis offense
37 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Tulane offense
35 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Thursday, October 15, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- Yulman Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No