2026 Week 4
Southern Miss at Tulane
Friday, September 25, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Yulman Stadium
Southern Miss
Sun Belt
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -7.1
- National rank
- 94
- Proj. wins
- 1.2
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Tulane
American Athletic
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 6.3
- National rank
- 45
- Proj. wins
- 7.5
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Southern Miss
9%
Tulane
91%
Tulane 90% CI: 88% – 94% Δ rating 13.4
Tulane is the model's favorite at 91%. Southern Miss has a 9% path. Home-field adjustment of +5.3 rating points baked in for Tulane — venue-specific learned value (n=56 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Southern Miss offense
37 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Tulane offense
37 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, September 25, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- Yulman Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No