2026 Week 13 · Conference game
Northwestern at Illinois
Friday, November 27, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST
Lanny and Sharon Martin Stadium
Northwestern
Big Ten
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 5.8
- National rank
- 51
- Proj. wins
- 5.2
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Illinois
Big Ten
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 12.9
- National rank
- 24
- Proj. wins
- 7.8
- Playoff prob.
- 4%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Northwestern
25%
Illinois
75%
Illinois 90% CI: 68% – 82% Δ rating 7.1
Illinois is the model's favorite at 75%. Northwestern has a 25% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.9 rating points baked in for Illinois — venue-specific learned value (n=4 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Northwestern offense
33 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Illinois offense
39 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, November 27, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST
- Venue
- Lanny and Sharon Martin Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No