2026 Week 11 · Conference game
Michigan at Oregon
Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
Autzen Stadium
Michigan
Big Ten
- Record
- 3-0
- Rating
- 15.1
- National rank
- 21
- Proj. wins
- 7.9
- Playoff prob.
- 9%
Oregon
Big Ten
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- 24.4
- National rank
- 5
- Proj. wins
- 5.8
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Michigan
19%
Oregon
81%
Oregon 90% CI: 75% – 86% Δ rating 9.3
Oregon is the model's favorite at 81%. Michigan has a 19% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.4 rating points baked in for Oregon — venue-specific learned value (n=55 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Michigan offense
27 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Oregon offense
32 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Autzen Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No