2026 Week 10 · Conference game
Iowa at Northwestern
Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
Ryan Field
Iowa
Big Ten
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 19.7
- National rank
- 12
- Proj. wins
- 8.5
- Playoff prob.
- 45%
Northwestern
Big Ten
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 5.8
- National rank
- 51
- Proj. wins
- 5.5
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Iowa
81%
Northwestern
19%
Northwestern 90% CI: 14% – 26% Δ rating 13.9
Iowa is the model's favorite at 81%. Northwestern has a 19% path. League-prior home-field adjustment of +2.5 rating points baked in for Northwestern.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Iowa offense
37 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Northwestern offense
32 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Ryan Field
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No