2026 Week 10 · Conference game
Iowa at Northwestern
Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
Ryan Field
Iowa
Big Ten
- Record
- 3-0
- Rating
- 17.3
- National rank
- 18
- Proj. wins
- 8.1
- Playoff prob.
- 23%
Northwestern
Big Ten
- Record
- 2-0
- Rating
- 7.7
- National rank
- 44
- Proj. wins
- 7.6
- Playoff prob.
- 11%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Iowa
71%
Northwestern
29%
Northwestern 90% CI: 22% – 37% Δ rating 9.6
Iowa is the model's favorite at 71%. Northwestern has a 29% path. League-prior home-field adjustment of +2.5 rating points baked in for Northwestern.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Iowa offense
37 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Northwestern offense
32 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Ryan Field
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No