4thand4cast

Search the site.

Try , , or .

Powered by Pagefind

2026 Week 10 · Conference game · Neutral site

Iowa at Northwestern

Friday, November 6, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST

Ryan Field

Iowa
Big Ten
Record
0-0
Rating
19.7
National rank
12
Proj. wins
8.6
Playoff prob.
47%
Northwestern
Big Ten
Record
0-0
Rating
5.8
National rank
51
Proj. wins
5.2
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Iowa
85%
Northwestern
15%
Northwestern 90% CI: 11% – 20% Δ rating 13.9

Iowa is the model's favorite at 85%. Northwestern has a 15% path. No home-field adjustment applied (neutral site).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Iowa offense
37 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Northwestern offense
32 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast for neutral-site venues will arrive once the venues table ships (#53).

Game info

Kickoff
Friday, November 6, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST
Venue
Ryan Field
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
Yes

← Home