2026 Week 9 · Conference game
Northwestern at Oregon
Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Autzen Stadium
Northwestern
Big Ten
- Record
- 2-0
- Rating
- 7.7
- National rank
- 44
- Proj. wins
- 7.6
- Playoff prob.
- 11%
Oregon
Big Ten
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- 24.4
- National rank
- 5
- Proj. wins
- 5.8
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Northwestern
8%
Oregon
92%
Oregon 90% CI: 88% – 94% Δ rating 16.7
Oregon is the model's favorite at 92%. Northwestern has a 8% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.4 rating points baked in for Oregon — venue-specific learned value (n=55 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Northwestern offense
29 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Oregon offense
39 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Autzen Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No