2026 Week 8 · Conference game
Iowa at Minnesota
Saturday, October 24, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Huntington Bank Stadium
Iowa
Big Ten
- Record
- 3-0
- Rating
- 17.3
- National rank
- 18
- Proj. wins
- 8.1
- Playoff prob.
- 23%
Minnesota
Big Ten
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- 5.9
- National rank
- 51
- Proj. wins
- 5.8
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Iowa
79%
Minnesota
21%
Minnesota 90% CI: 16% – 28% Δ rating 11.4
Iowa is the model's favorite at 79%. Minnesota has a 21% path. Home-field adjustment of +0.9 rating points baked in for Minnesota — venue-specific learned value (n=61 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Iowa offense
37 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Minnesota offense
34 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 24, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Huntington Bank Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No