2026 Week 8 · Conference game
Indiana at Michigan
Friday, October 23, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Michigan Stadium
Indiana
Big Ten
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 32.4
- National rank
- 1
- Proj. wins
- 10.1
- Playoff prob.
- 100%
Michigan
Big Ten
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 12.4
- National rank
- 25
- Proj. wins
- 6.7
- Playoff prob.
- 2%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Indiana
91%
Michigan
9%
Michigan 90% CI: 7% – 13% Δ rating 20.0
Indiana is the model's favorite at 91%. Michigan has a 9% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.8 rating points baked in for Michigan — venue-specific learned value (n=67 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Indiana offense
31 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Michigan offense
28 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, October 23, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- Michigan Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No