2026 Week 12 · Conference game
NC State at Florida State
Friday, November 20, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST
Doak Campbell Stadium
NC State
ACC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 4.8
- National rank
- 55
- Proj. wins
- 7.0
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
Florida State
ACC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 7.2
- National rank
- 41
- Proj. wins
- 6.3
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
NC State
35%
Florida State
65%
Florida State 90% CI: 56% – 73% Δ rating 2.4
Florida State is the model's favorite at 65%. NC State has a 35% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.6 rating points baked in for Florida State — venue-specific learned value (n=55 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
NC State offense
36 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Florida State offense
36 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, November 20, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST
- Venue
- Doak Campbell Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No