2026 Week 11 · Conference game
Florida State at Pittsburgh
Thursday, November 12, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST
Acrisure Stadium
Florida State
ACC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 7.2
- National rank
- 41
- Proj. wins
- 6.3
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
Pittsburgh
ACC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 8.4
- National rank
- 36
- Proj. wins
- 7.8
- Playoff prob.
- 3%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Florida State
41%
Pittsburgh
59%
Pittsburgh 90% CI: 50% – 68% Δ rating 1.2
Pittsburgh is the model's favorite at 59%. Florida State has a 41% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.8 rating points baked in for Pittsburgh — venue-specific learned value (n=57 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Florida State offense
29 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Pittsburgh offense
37 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Thursday, November 12, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST
- Venue
- Acrisure Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No