Conference game
Florida State at Louisville
Friday, October 9, 2026 · 7:00 PM EDT
Final score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Florida State | 14 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 20 |
 Louisville Winner | 0 | 14 | 14 | 16 | 44 |
GIE pre-game call: Louisville at 82%. Hit
Pre-game
GIE win probability
Florida State 18% Underdog
Louisville 82% Favorite
Louisville is the model's favorite at 82%. Florida State has a 18% path. Home-field adjustment of +-0.1 rating points baked in for Louisville — venue-specific night-game value (n=56 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.