2026 Week 6 · Conference game
Iowa State at BYU
Saturday, October 10, 2026 · 2:15 AM UTC
LaVell Edwards Stadium
Iowa State
Big 12
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- 5.8
- National rank
- 52
- Proj. wins
- 6.2
- Playoff prob.
- 2%
BYU
Big 12
- Record
- 3-0
- Rating
- 17.5
- National rank
- 17
- Proj. wins
- 8.5
- Playoff prob.
- 48%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Iowa State
14%
BYU
86%
BYU 90% CI: 81% – 90% Δ rating 11.7
BYU is the model's favorite at 86%. Iowa State has a 14% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.8 rating points baked in for BYU — venue-specific learned value (n=52 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Iowa State offense
34 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
BYU offense
34 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Conditions
Overcast
Temperature
67°F
Precipitation
3%
Wind
4 mph
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 10, 2026 · 2:15 AM UTC
- Venue
- LaVell Edwards Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No