2026 Week 6 · Conference game
Iowa State at BYU
Friday, October 9, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
LaVell Edwards Stadium
Iowa State
Big 12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 9.9
- National rank
- 33
- Proj. wins
- 7.2
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
BYU
Big 12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 15.9
- National rank
- 18
- Proj. wins
- 8.0
- Playoff prob.
- 17%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Iowa State
25%
BYU
75%
BYU 90% CI: 67% – 81% Δ rating 6.0
BYU is the model's favorite at 75%. Iowa State has a 25% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.8 rating points baked in for BYU — venue-specific learned value (n=52 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Iowa State offense
34 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
BYU offense
34 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, October 9, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- LaVell Edwards Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No