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2026 Week 2 FINAL

Iowa State at Iowa

Saturday, September 12, 2026 · 11:30 PM UTC

Kinnick Stadium

13
Iowa State
Final
16
Iowa
Team 1234 T
Iowa State 01030 13
Iowa 01006 16

GIE pre-game call: Iowa at 86%. Hit.

Recaps

Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.

Iowa State
Big 12
Record
2-1
Rating
5.8
National rank
52
Proj. wins
6.2
Playoff prob.
2%
Iowa
Big Ten
Record
3-0
Rating
17.3
National rank
18
Proj. wins
8.1
Playoff prob.
23%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Iowa State
14%
Iowa
86%
Iowa 90% CI: 80% – 90% Δ rating 11.5

Iowa is the model's favorite at 86%. Iowa State has a 14% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.7 rating points baked in for Iowa — venue-specific learned value (n=62 games).

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, September 12, 2026 · 11:30 PM UTC
Venue
Kinnick Stadium
Conference game
No
Neutral site
No
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