2026 Week 13 · Conference game
Mississippi State at Ole Miss
Friday, November 27, 2026 · 5:00 PM UTC
Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
Mississippi State
SEC
- Record
- 3-0
- Rating
- 12.0
- National rank
- 29
- Proj. wins
- 8.4
- Playoff prob.
- 51%
Ole Miss
SEC
- Record
- 3-0
- Rating
- 15.6
- National rank
- 20
- Proj. wins
- 7.7
- Playoff prob.
- 16%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Mississippi State
39%
Ole Miss
61%
Ole Miss 90% CI: 52% – 69% Δ rating 3.6
Ole Miss is the model's favorite at 61%. Mississippi State has a 39% path. Home-field adjustment of +-0.0 rating points baked in for Ole Miss — venue-specific learned value (n=61 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Mississippi State offense
34 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Ole Miss offense
41 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, November 27, 2026 · 5:00 PM UTC
- Venue
- Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No