2026 Week 13
Florida at Florida State
Friday, November 27, 2026 · 8:30 PM UTC
Doak Campbell Stadium
Florida
SEC
- Record
- 3-0
- Rating
- 17.8
- National rank
- 15
- Proj. wins
- 8.3
- Playoff prob.
- 46%
Florida State
ACC
- Record
- 1-2
- Rating
- 5.5
- National rank
- 53
- Proj. wins
- 4.5
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Florida
77%
Florida State
23%
Florida State 90% CI: 17% – 30% Δ rating 12.3
Florida is the model's favorite at 77%. Florida State has a 23% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.6 rating points baked in for Florida State — venue-specific learned value (n=55 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Florida offense
36 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Florida State offense
36 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, November 27, 2026 · 8:30 PM UTC
- Venue
- Doak Campbell Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No