Florida at Florida State
Friday, November 27, 2026 · 3:30 PM EST
GIE win probability
Florida 42% Underdog
Florida State 58% Favorite
Florida State is the model's favorite at 58%. Florida has a 42% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.9 rating points baked in for Florida State — venue-specific learned value (n=54 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Florida offense
36 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
Florida State offense
36 / 100 Style-neutral matchup