Neutral site
Baylor vs. Auburn
Saturday, September 5, 2026 · 3:30 PM EDT
Final score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Baylor | 0 | 7 | 0 | 9 | 16 |
 Auburn Winner | 3 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 17 |
GIE pre-game call: Baylor at 79%. Miss
Pre-game
GIE win probability
Baylor 79% Favorite
Auburn 21% Underdog
Baylor is the model's favorite at 79%. Auburn has a 21% path. No home-field adjustment applied (neutral site).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Recaps
- Baylor recap Baylor: 2026 Week 12 recap Baylor is ranked 31st by GIE after a decisive 42–31 home win over Iowa State last week—a result that lifted the Bears' rating by 4.8 points to 13.3. At 6–3, they've quietly climbed into playoff consideration territory, though the model…
- Auburn recap Auburn: 2026 Week 12 recap Auburn sits at 5–4 and ranked 60th by GIE after a narrow 26–23 win over Arkansas in Week 10, but the bigger story is the 3.7-point rating collapse since last week. The Tigers have slid to a 2.8 rating as structural cracks have widened: a…